Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.2% | 41.8% | -1.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +10 (119-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 37 | 4-15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 37 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luka Dončić * | 36 | 13-26 | 6-13 | 6-7 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 30 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanović | 8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 36 | 10-23 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 24 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 32 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 21 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 19 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 18 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter