Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +6 (117-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Okogie * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 33 | 8-15 | 5-12 | 7-9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 29 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 25 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 18 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Covington * | 40 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 35 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 35 | 11-19 | 5-10 | 10-14 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 29 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 20 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 18 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter