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2020-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 52.5% 47.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls +5 (108-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Love * 37 5-16 2-13 5-5 8 7 1 0 17 - -
Collin Sexton * 36 12-16 0-0 2-2 3 5 1 0 26 - -
Matthew Dellavedova * 34 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 8 1 1 8 - -
Andre Drummond * 34 8-14 0-0 5-9 7 2 2 1 21 - -
Cedi Osman * 29 4-16 0-4 1-1 6 1 0 1 9 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 31 6-6 2-2 2-4 4 6 2 1 16 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 22 2-7 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 1 6 - -
Matt Mooney 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 37 7-17 2-7 4-5 5 5 0 0 20 - -
Shaquille Harrison * 29 3-7 0-2 2-2 10 4 1 3 8 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 27 6-13 3-9 0-0 4 0 1 0 15 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 26 7-9 0-0 3-4 6 1 2 0 17 - -
Denzel Valentine * 22 6-12 3-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 15 - -
Tomas Satoransky 28 2-7 1-3 0-0 8 5 0 0 5 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 25 6-11 2-5 1-1 4 2 2 0 15 - -
Daniel Gafford 20 2-2 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 3 5 - -
Thaddeus Young 20 3-6 1-2 1-2 4 3 1 0 8 - -

* = starter