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2020-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% -
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% -
Log Adjusted 51.5% 48.5% -
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (143-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 46 9-26 4-14 5-5 4 10 4 0 27 - -
Terry Rozier * 43 15-26 8-13 2-3 4 3 1 0 40 - -
Miles Bridges * 26 2-10 0-5 0-0 4 4 0 1 4 - -
Cody Zeller * 22 3-5 0-0 4-4 7 2 0 0 10 - -
P.J. Washington * 16 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Caleb Martin 36 8-10 5-6 2-2 0 4 3 2 23 - -
Cody Martin 35 3-8 1-5 4-4 4 5 0 0 11 - -
Bismack Biyombo 34 4-5 0-0 2-3 6 2 0 2 10 - -
Jalen McDaniels 28 4-8 1-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 11 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 46 4-12 2-7 0-0 5 6 0 0 10 - -
John Collins * 45 12-13 0-0 4-8 11 0 0 2 28 - -
Trae Young * 43 11-25 6-13 3-4 4 16 0 0 31 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 37 3-5 3-4 4-5 11 2 0 0 13 - -
Dewayne Dedmon * 27 6-13 2-4 0-1 9 2 0 3 14 - -
Cam Reddish 40 8-14 3-8 3-4 7 2 1 0 22 - -
Treveon Graham 15 2-3 1-1 2-5 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Vince Carter 15 3-6 3-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 9 - -
Jeff Teague 14 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Bruno Fernando 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter