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2020-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% -
Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% -
Log Adjusted 67.8% 32.2% -
Points Off/Def 58.6% 41.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -5 (113-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 42 11-21 6-12 3-4 2 5 2 1 31 - -
OG Anunoby * 38 4-7 2-3 2-4 2 0 1 0 12 - -
Pascal Siakam * 38 7-15 2-8 7-8 8 5 3 0 23 - -
Serge Ibaka * 35 5-10 1-4 4-4 10 5 0 2 15 - -
Kyle Lowry * 35 10-15 6-10 4-5 5 8 3 0 30 - -
Patrick McCaw 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Marc Gasol 15 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Terence Davis 5 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Matt Thomas 4 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 33 3-10 1-3 2-2 5 3 1 1 9 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 30 4-10 1-6 0-1 4 2 1 1 9 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 30 8-16 2-6 10-10 4 4 0 0 28 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 29 6-12 0-4 2-2 10 2 0 1 14 - -
Harry Giles III * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Kent Bazemore 26 6-11 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 15 - -
Buddy Hield 23 4-12 3-8 0-0 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Richaun Holmes 18 3-4 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 2 6 - -
Cory Joseph 17 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 6 2 0 4 - -
Alex Len 14 6-9 0-0 3-3 7 1 0 2 15 - -

* = starter