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2020-03-08

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 54.6% 45.4% -
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% -
Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.2% 32.8% -
Log Adjusted 67.3% 32.7% -
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +3 (132-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 42 7-19 0-0 11-12 8 4 2 0 25 - -
Trey Lyles * 41 4-10 0-3 5-6 9 2 1 1 13 - -
Bryn Forbes * 31 6-12 4-8 3-3 1 1 0 0 19 - -
Dejounte Murray * 30 8-18 1-1 0-0 7 6 6 1 17 - -
Drew Eubanks * 21 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 2 6 - -
Rudy Gay 35 7-19 3-9 2-2 9 0 1 2 19 - -
Derrick White 24 4-7 1-2 8-9 0 3 1 0 17 - -
Patty Mills 19 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 7 - -
Keldon Johnson 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 2 0 6 - -
Quinndary Weatherspoon 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matthew Dellavedova * 44 3-11 2-6 6-7 2 11 1 0 14 - -
Kevin Love * 40 3-12 1-5 7-8 18 3 0 0 14 - -
Collin Sexton * 39 8-19 1-5 9-11 1 4 1 0 26 - -
Cedi Osman * 36 6-14 4-8 3-4 4 6 2 0 19 - -
Andre Drummond * 33 11-16 0-2 6-11 17 1 0 3 28 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 43 7-13 3-5 2-2 10 0 0 0 19 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 19 4-6 2-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 10 - -
Tristan Thompson 8 1-3 0-1 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter