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2020-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 39.5% 60.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 (24.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% -
Log Adjusted 32.4% 67.6% -
Points Off/Def 33.4% 66.6% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -20 (106-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 35 7-17 1-3 4-5 10 4 3 2 19 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 5-12 0-0 6-8 16 3 1 1 16 - -
Markelle Fultz * 27 8-12 2-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 18 - -
James Ennis III * 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 - -
Wes Iwundu * 18 4-7 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Terrence Ross 29 5-10 4-7 2-2 4 0 3 0 16 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 26 5-10 1-3 5-6 2 3 1 1 16 - -
D.J. Augustin 26 7-10 4-6 6-6 2 3 1 0 24 - -
Mo Bamba 13 2-6 0-2 1-2 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Gary Clark 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Vic Law 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Khem Birch 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 32 6-19 3-10 8-10 7 6 3 0 23 - -
Russell Westbrook * 30 9-19 2-5 4-5 8 4 1 0 24 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 30 2-7 1-4 1-1 0 3 3 0 6 - -
P.J. Tucker * 28 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Robert Covington * 25 3-10 0-4 1-1 4 2 0 4 7 - -
Austin Rivers 27 2-6 1-2 0-2 4 3 1 1 5 - -
Jeff Green 26 8-8 1-1 1-2 5 0 1 0 18 - -
DeMarre Carroll 16 3-6 0-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Bruno Caboclo 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 2 4 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Clemons 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter