Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.3% | 28.7% | -5.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -11 (89-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 38 | 8-12 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 29 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 30 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 23 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura * | 39 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shabazz Napier * | 39 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 11-14 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 35 | 8-24 | 5-14 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 30 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 27 | 8-15 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter