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2020-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 45.9% 54.1% +0.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 59.1% 40.9% -
Efficiency 84.7% 15.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% -
Log Adjusted 80.6% 19.4% -
Points Off/Def 69.7% 30.3% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +9 (140-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 35 13-26 3-10 10-11 2 4 0 0 39 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 34 12-19 2-4 2-5 3 7 1 0 28 - -
Brook Lopez * 27 8-14 1-4 1-1 2 2 1 2 18 - -
Wesley Matthews * 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Ersan Ilyasova * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 28 7-11 2-5 0-1 7 4 2 0 16 - -
Marvin Williams 25 1-3 1-2 2-2 5 3 0 1 5 - -
Pat Connaughton 18 2-6 0-0 1-1 3 0 2 0 5 - -
George Hill 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Kyle Korver 13 3-4 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Robin Lopez 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 42 7-13 2-6 5-5 10 3 0 1 21 - -
Devin Booker * 39 13-17 4-6 6-7 5 8 1 2 36 - -
Ricky Rubio * 37 8-15 3-7 6-6 13 13 3 0 25 - -
Aron Baynes * 33 8-16 4-11 4-5 7 1 0 1 24 - -
Dario Saric * 26 3-7 3-4 2-4 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Jevon Carter 32 4-8 2-6 2-2 4 1 1 0 12 - -
Cheick Diallo 14 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Ty Jerome 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 - -

* = starter