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2020-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% -
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% -

Actual: LA Clippers -9 (103-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 34 11-19 1-4 7-8 7 2 2 1 30 - -
LeBron James * 34 7-17 2-6 12-14 8 9 0 2 28 - -
Avery Bradley * 32 9-17 6-12 0-0 3 1 2 0 24 - -
Danny Green * 24 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 1 0 - -
JaVale McGee * 12 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 27 4-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Kyle Kuzma 22 3-8 0-4 2-2 10 0 1 2 8 - -
Rajon Rondo 22 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 7 0 0 4 - -
Markieff Morris 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 - -
Dwight Howard 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Alex Caruso 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 37 9-18 2-9 7-8 2 0 0 1 27 - -
Paul George * 36 9-16 3-7 10-11 6 3 3 1 31 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 29 0-9 0-7 1-2 6 1 1 0 1 - -
Patrick Beverley * 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 - -
Ivica Zubac * 13 1-4 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 1 5 - -
Montrezl Harrell 33 7-10 0-0 6-11 8 1 0 2 20 - -
Lou Williams 28 3-11 1-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 7 - -
Reggie Jackson 14 3-7 1-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 8 - -
JaMychal Green 10 1-5 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Landry Shamet 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Amir Coffey 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Rodney McGruder 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter