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2020-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 57.3% 42.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% -
Margin 28.6% 71.4% +5.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% -
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +17 (118-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 39 9-16 3-5 6-7 8 3 2 1 27 - -
Kevin Huerter * 36 4-11 3-6 0-0 5 6 2 0 11 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 28 2-11 0-4 2-3 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Trae Young * 28 4-16 1-10 7-9 5 4 2 0 16 - -
Dewayne Dedmon * 21 1-11 0-7 4-4 10 0 1 0 6 - -
Jeff Teague 19 3-8 1-3 3-3 2 3 0 1 10 - -
Vince Carter 18 2-7 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Treveon Graham 14 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Cam Reddish 12 3-5 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Bruno Fernando 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Brandon Goodwin 8 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 5 - -
Damian Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valančiūnas * 32 10-13 0-1 7-10 17 2 0 3 27 - -
Ja Morant * 31 8-12 4-4 4-6 5 6 2 1 24 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 29 5-10 3-5 0-0 6 3 3 0 13 - -
Kyle Anderson * 29 5-7 2-3 0-0 4 5 1 1 12 - -
Dillon Brooks * 27 4-15 2-7 3-5 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Josh Jackson 21 6-15 1-7 4-8 4 3 1 1 17 - -
Gorgui Dieng 18 2-4 0-1 0-2 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Tyus Jones 18 2-5 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Anthony Tolliver 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
John Konchar 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 2 - -
Yuta Watanabe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Marko Guduric 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarrod Uthoff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter