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2020-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% -
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.9% 39.1% -
Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.9% 23.1% -
Log Adjusted 76.9% 23.1% -
Points Off/Def 66.0% 34.0% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +9 (108-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 45 8-22 2-11 12-14 10 14 2 0 30 - -
Robert Covington * 38 9-16 7-13 0-0 6 0 1 2 25 - -
P.J. Tucker * 35 1-5 1-5 0-0 8 1 0 0 3 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 26 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 - -
Ben McLemore * 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Austin Rivers 32 2-7 2-4 1-4 3 1 2 0 7 - -
Jeff Green 29 10-15 0-3 0-0 8 2 3 1 20 - -
DeMarre Carroll 18 3-4 2-3 1-2 2 2 0 0 9 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 38 8-15 6-9 2-3 3 6 1 0 24 - -
P.J. Washington * 32 8-11 3-6 3-3 5 3 0 0 22 - -
Devonte' Graham * 31 7-12 4-8 5-5 0 6 1 0 23 - -
Miles Bridges * 27 3-11 0-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Cody Zeller * 27 5-6 0-0 3-4 5 1 3 0 13 - -
Cody Martin 29 1-6 0-1 1-4 1 9 2 0 3 - -
Caleb Martin 22 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 2 0 1 6 - -
Willy Hernangomez 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 3 - -
Jalen McDaniels 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter