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2020-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 54.5% 45.5% -1.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.4% 40.6% -
Log Adjusted 59.4% 40.6% -
Points Off/Def 52.0% 48.0% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +10 (113-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 36 5-19 2-10 0-0 5 4 1 0 12 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 10-21 1-6 11-14 11 6 1 0 32 - -
Brook Lopez * 29 4-5 3-4 2-4 5 1 0 0 13 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 28 5-13 0-3 1-1 4 3 3 0 11 - -
Wesley Matthews * 26 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 24 7-13 3-7 0-0 3 4 0 1 17 - -
Marvin Williams 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Pat Connaughton 18 2-5 0-2 3-4 8 2 1 0 7 - -
Kyle Korver 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Robin Lopez 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 12-21 1-7 12-15 8 8 3 0 37 - -
Danny Green * 30 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 6 - -
Avery Bradley * 30 0-5 0-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 - -
Anthony Davis * 29 10-24 0-4 10-11 9 0 0 2 30 - -
JaVale McGee * 20 2-5 0-0 1-2 11 0 3 1 5 - -
Kyle Kuzma 23 3-11 1-6 4-4 8 1 0 0 11 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Alex Caruso 18 3-5 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 1 8 - -
Rajon Rondo 12 2-6 0-2 1-2 2 4 0 0 5 - -
Dwight Howard 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Markieff Morris 8 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter