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2020-03-06

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 87.1% 12.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% - ✓
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 ✓ (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - ✓
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.1% 55.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 41.5% 58.5% - ✓

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +19 (139-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 30 10-13 0-0 4-5 5 9 0 0 24 - -
Derrick White * 27 6-12 2-6 5-5 2 2 1 3 19 - -
Dejounte Murray * 25 3-16 0-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 6 - -
Trey Lyles * 23 6-12 5-7 2-2 2 2 0 1 19 - -
Bryn Forbes * 17 3-6 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Rudy Gay 23 6-9 1-4 2-2 6 2 0 0 15 - -
Keldon Johnson 21 4-6 1-2 4-6 5 0 1 0 13 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 - -
Patty Mills 16 1-4 0-3 5-5 3 0 0 1 7 - -
Drew Eubanks 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Luka Samanic 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Quinndary Weatherspoon 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 31 9-16 3-5 6-7 11 10 0 0 27 - -
Joe Harris * 26 9-14 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 20 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 26 7-13 3-7 2-7 0 9 0 0 19 - -
Jarrett Allen * 20 5-7 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 0 12 - -
Wilson Chandler * 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Taurean Prince 29 5-14 0-4 3-3 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 28 5-7 3-5 6-6 1 2 0 0 19 - -
DeAndre Jordan 22 5-10 0-0 2-4 10 1 0 0 12 - -
Chris Chiozza 21 5-9 3-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 13 - -
Jeremiah Martin 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Theo Pinson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Rodions Kurucs 5 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 - -

* = starter