๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2020-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% - โœ—
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 โœ— (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 71.5% 28.5% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors -8 (113-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 38 13-21 4-8 7-7 3 2 3 0 37 - -
Pascal Siakam * 37 5-17 0-7 7-9 5 5 1 1 17 - -
OG Anunoby * 37 5-7 3-4 1-2 4 0 3 0 14 - -
Kyle Lowry * 33 6-14 4-12 10-10 5 10 2 0 26 - -
Serge Ibaka * 29 6-11 1-3 0-0 13 3 0 1 13 - -
Patrick McCaw 24 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Terence Davis 16 3-7 1-3 3-3 2 4 0 0 10 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Chris Boucher 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Matt Thomas 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 37 9-20 3-9 0-1 10 2 0 2 21 - -
Damion Lee * 35 8-17 5-12 2-4 5 3 1 0 23 - -
Marquese Chriss * 29 6-14 0-1 5-6 12 4 1 2 17 - -
Stephen Curry * 27 6-16 3-12 8-8 6 7 0 0 23 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 21 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 - -
Eric Paschall 32 6-10 1-4 3-4 4 8 0 0 16 - -
Mychal Mulder 23 3-9 2-8 0-0 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Dragan Bender 16 1-6 0-3 1-2 5 4 0 0 3 - -
Jordan Poole 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 - -

* = starter