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2020-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 63.4% 36.6% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% - βœ“
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.8 βœ“ (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 59.8% 40.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% - βœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings -17 (108-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 36 7-14 2-6 2-2 8 6 0 0 18 18 -
Tobias Harris * 36 11-22 4-6 2-3 14 3 0 1 28 24 -
Shake Milton * 27 8-14 3-5 1-1 3 3 1 1 20 14 -
Mike Scott * 25 5-10 1-3 0-0 7 4 0 0 11 12 -
Matisse Thybulle * 19 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 3 4 -
Glenn Robinson III 28 2-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 5 -
Furkan Korkmaz 24 2-7 1-3 2-2 1 3 3 0 7 7 -
Raul Neto 20 5-8 2-3 4-5 2 2 1 0 16 13 -
Alec Burks 18 6-12 3-6 2-2 3 1 2 0 17 11 -
Norvel Pelle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 37 5-10 2-3 3-4 6 5 0 0 15 16 -
De'Aaron Fox * 36 9-17 0-4 5-6 3 7 1 1 23 18 -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 35 5-8 1-4 2-2 6 5 1 0 13 17 -
Nemanja Bjelica * 30 3-8 1-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 7 7 -
Harry Giles III * 15 5-8 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 10 6 -
Kent Bazemore 32 5-9 1-3 3-4 9 0 1 1 14 16 -
Buddy Hield 25 8-16 6-10 0-0 1 1 3 0 22 11 -
Alex Len 14 2-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 4 6 -
Cory Joseph 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 3 -

* = starter