Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.0% | 27.0% | -5.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -2 (112-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 20 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 24 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Graham * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 34 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 31 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 22 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter