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2020-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 12.1% 87.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% -
Margin 31.0% 69.0% +4.4 (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -
Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% -
Log Adjusted 37.7% 62.3% -
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +21 (125-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 37 10-29 4-9 5-6 6 6 1 0 29 - -
Rui Hachimura * 28 4-11 0-1 3-4 4 4 1 0 11 - -
Jerome Robinson * 25 2-9 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 5 - -
Shabazz Napier * 25 3-10 1-4 2-4 4 3 0 1 9 - -
Moritz Wagner * 18 4-8 0-0 1-2 9 1 2 0 9 - -
Davis Bertans 29 8-16 4-12 1-2 4 3 1 1 21 - -
Isaac Bonga 27 3-5 0-0 1-1 3 3 2 0 7 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 20 4-8 1-3 0-2 6 4 1 0 9 - -
Anzejs Pasecniks 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Gary Payton II 10 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hassan Whiteside * 34 10-14 0-0 4-5 16 2 0 4 24 - -
Trevor Ariza * 33 3-5 2-4 7-8 3 4 2 2 15 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 9-18 2-7 2-4 6 5 0 1 22 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 31 8-13 3-5 6-6 5 1 2 0 25 - -
Damian Lillard * 31 6-12 4-7 6-6 4 5 2 1 22 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 28 1-7 0-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 - -
Mario Hezonja 16 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 2 3 - -
Anfernee Simons 13 2-6 1-3 3-3 1 0 1 1 8 - -
Caleb Swanigan 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 3 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter