Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (127-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 41 | 11-22 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 39 | 9-19 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 37 | 8-19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 34 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 26 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 21 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 13 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 45 | 14-28 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 34 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 40 | 9-20 | 4-11 | 8-13 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 39 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 39 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 37 | 7-12 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 24 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter