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2020-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 27.6% 72.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% -
Margin 33.8% 66.2% +3.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 50.0% 50.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Log Adjusted 48.9% 51.1% -
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +7 (115-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tomas Satoransky * 29 5-11 0-1 0-0 5 5 1 0 10 - -
Shaquille Harrison * 28 5-8 3-3 4-6 2 2 3 0 17 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 24 3-6 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 6 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 20 6-10 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 13 - -
Denzel Valentine * 18 5-11 1-4 0-1 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Coby White 34 11-22 2-7 2-2 1 6 0 0 26 - -
Thaddeus Young 28 6-11 1-4 0-0 6 4 3 2 13 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 22 3-6 3-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 9 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 18 1-8 0-3 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 - -
Daniel Gafford 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Cristiano Felicio 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 33 8-14 4-8 4-4 3 2 0 0 24 - -
Juancho Hernangomez * 31 4-8 2-5 2-4 7 2 1 0 12 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 31 6-13 4-10 3-3 3 4 1 0 19 - -
Josh Okogie * 26 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 - -
Naz Reid * 24 5-10 3-3 3-6 11 3 0 2 16 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 27 5-10 0-2 0-2 1 7 1 0 10 - -
James Johnson 21 3-6 1-3 1-2 4 5 2 3 8 - -
Jarrett Culver 21 5-11 3-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 13 - -
Jake Layman 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Kelan Martin 8 1-2 1-2 3-4 3 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter