Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (116-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 39 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 31 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 34 | 12-18 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 17 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 36 | 9-12 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 22 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 32 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 31 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 16 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter