Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -7 (107-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 12-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 34 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 33 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 30 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 39 | 12-16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Brandon Knight * | 38 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 23 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| John Henson * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jordan McRae | 25 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Khyri Thomas | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter