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2020-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% -
Bradley-Terry 55.0% 45.0% -
Margin 66.7% 33.3% -3.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 66.2% 33.8% -
Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% -
Log Adjusted 84.9% 15.1% -
Points Off/Def 74.2% 25.8% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -6 (106-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 39 11-24 5-10 5-7 9 6 2 1 32 - -
Marcus Smart * 32 5-15 0-5 8-8 2 2 2 0 18 - -
Brad Wanamaker * 29 2-6 0-3 2-2 2 2 2 0 6 - -
Grant Williams * 26 4-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 1 8 - -
Daniel Theis * 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 5 - -
Semi Ojeleye 30 8-11 5-8 1-1 6 2 0 1 22 - -
Tremont Waters 15 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Enes Kanter 14 3-6 0-0 4-4 11 0 1 0 10 - -
Robert Williams III 14 3-5 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 3 6 - -
Romeo Langford 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 44 17-30 3-9 4-4 3 6 1 0 41 - -
Cedi Osman * 42 3-14 3-9 4-4 5 2 1 0 13 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 39 7-13 2-5 3-6 15 4 4 0 19 - -
Kevin Love * 37 9-17 5-10 3-3 14 5 0 1 26 - -
Matthew Dellavedova * 35 0-8 0-5 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 - -
Dean Wade 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 - -
Ante Zizic 14 2-5 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 - -

* = starter