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2020-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 56.2% 43.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% -
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 26.5% 73.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% -
Log Adjusted 33.1% 66.9% -
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +13 (120-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Scott * 36 4-8 4-7 0-0 8 2 0 0 12 - -
Al Horford * 33 2-8 0-2 4-5 11 3 2 1 8 - -
Tobias Harris * 33 8-18 2-6 0-1 7 2 0 0 18 - -
Shake Milton * 28 4-9 2-6 2-4 1 6 4 0 12 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 - -
Glenn Robinson III 31 10-15 3-5 2-2 4 1 1 0 25 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 23 4-10 3-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 11 - -
Alec Burks 22 2-7 1-5 7-8 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Raul Neto 10 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 7 - -
Norvel Pelle 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 38 13-19 4-5 7-8 13 2 4 2 37 - -
Avery Bradley * 34 4-9 2-5 0-0 5 3 2 0 10 - -
LeBron James * 33 9-16 2-5 2-3 7 14 1 2 22 - -
Danny Green * 26 3-7 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 7 - -
JaVale McGee * 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 23 4-7 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Rajon Rondo 19 3-8 2-5 0-0 0 3 1 0 8 - -
Kyle Kuzma 19 3-10 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Dwight Howard 13 4-4 0-0 3-3 1 0 1 0 11 - -
Markieff Morris 12 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Jared Dudley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Quinn Cook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter