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2020-03-03

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 77.6% 22.4% -
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% -
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -
Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% -
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% -
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -1 (103-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 35 5-11 0-0 2-3 5 10 1 0 12 - -
Trey Lyles * 32 2-8 1-6 1-1 3 2 2 0 6 - -
Dejounte Murray * 28 9-14 3-5 0-0 5 6 2 0 21 - -
Bryn Forbes * 26 4-7 2-5 5-6 2 1 0 0 15 - -
Drew Eubanks * 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Rudy Gay 26 4-10 0-1 2-2 7 2 0 0 10 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 22 2-6 1-2 0-0 6 2 2 1 5 - -
Patty Mills 21 4-10 1-6 4-4 1 0 2 0 13 - -
Derrick White 19 4-9 2-5 2-2 2 1 2 2 12 - -
Keldon Johnson 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 1 7 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 35 8-18 2-7 2-2 6 5 0 0 20 - -
Cody Martin * 34 6-8 1-1 0-0 5 4 2 0 13 - -
P.J. Washington * 34 6-13 5-9 2-4 4 3 0 1 19 - -
Miles Bridges * 32 5-14 2-5 3-3 7 1 0 0 15 - -
Cody Zeller * 19 4-5 0-0 0-3 6 3 0 0 8 - -
Jalen McDaniels 27 3-7 0-1 0-0 9 5 0 0 6 - -
Caleb Martin 26 5-9 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 12 - -
Willy Hernangomez 17 2-4 0-0 4-4 6 3 0 1 8 - -
Joe Chealey 12 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter