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2020-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 57.6% 42.4% -1.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% -
Efficiency 79.7% 20.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.1% 24.9% -
Log Adjusted 75.1% 24.9% -
Points Off/Def 64.0% 36.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +2 (109-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Dončić * 38 8-20 1-8 6-9 5 9 1 0 23 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 35 10-21 4-12 2-2 1 3 1 0 26 - -
Maxi Kleber * 33 4-8 3-7 2-2 10 1 1 2 13 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 32 7-10 3-6 1-2 7 3 0 1 18 - -
Courtney Lee * 23 3-5 1-3 1-1 0 0 3 0 8 - -
Delon Wright 26 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 4 1 0 0 - -
Boban Marjanović 22 7-11 0-1 0-0 12 0 1 1 14 - -
J.J. Barea 12 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 5 0 0 1 - -
Justin Jackson 8 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 - -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thaddeus Young * 35 5-12 0-3 2-3 9 4 1 0 12 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 30 5-10 1-3 0-0 6 5 1 0 11 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 22 2-5 0-0 3-5 6 1 0 1 7 - -
Denzel Valentine * 21 7-15 3-10 0-0 4 2 0 1 17 - -
Shaquille Harrison * 15 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 1 2 - -
Coby White 32 8-20 3-9 0-0 6 5 1 0 19 - -
Daniel Gafford 24 4-5 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 1 9 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 20 4-7 0-2 2-4 6 2 1 0 10 - -
Adam Mokoka 18 2-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 17 7-11 3-5 1-2 1 3 0 1 18 - -

* = starter