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2020-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 56.3% 43.7% -1.4 (37.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% -
Efficiency 74.3% 25.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% -
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -39 (88-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 24 5-17 1-7 2-4 5 0 1 1 13 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 24 6-7 1-1 2-2 15 2 0 0 15 - -
Ja Morant * 24 6-10 0-0 1-3 4 5 0 1 13 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 23 3-8 1-2 4-5 4 4 2 0 11 - -
Kyle Anderson * 20 1-7 0-3 1-2 7 2 1 1 3 - -
Gorgui Dieng 26 6-8 0-1 5-7 10 1 1 1 17 - -
Josh Jackson 24 4-11 4-7 4-5 3 4 2 3 16 - -
John Konchar 19 4-7 2-2 0-0 7 1 0 1 10 - -
Tyus Jones 18 6-10 1-4 2-3 1 9 4 0 15 - -
Anthony Tolliver 18 4-5 4-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Marko Guduric 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Yuta Watanabe 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jarrod Uthoff 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 32 5-14 3-8 0-0 5 4 2 1 13 - -
John Collins * 31 4-11 2-4 2-2 3 1 1 1 12 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 30 3-11 0-4 0-0 7 3 1 2 6 - -
Trae Young * 29 5-17 0-4 9-9 1 2 1 1 19 - -
Bruno Fernando * 22 1-8 0-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 - -
Treveon Graham 22 2-7 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 5 - -
Brandon Goodwin 19 2-5 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Damian Jones 19 3-5 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 2 6 - -
Jeff Teague 16 5-12 1-2 1-1 3 1 0 1 12 - -
Vince Carter 15 2-9 2-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter