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2020-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 55.0% 45.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (24.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Log Adjusted 45.8% 54.2% -
Points Off/Def 41.8% 58.2% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -23 (107-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ariza * 36 4-10 2-7 1-1 4 3 1 0 11 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 14-24 6-12 7-7 5 5 1 0 41 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 34 9-16 4-6 2-2 4 2 0 1 24 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 26 5-9 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 10 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 26 6-12 0-1 4-4 13 1 0 2 16 - -
Mario Hezonja 27 4-6 0-1 2-2 8 4 1 0 10 - -
Anfernee Simons 22 3-7 3-5 0-0 0 5 1 0 9 - -
Caleb Swanigan 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 1 4 - -
Nassir Little 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 32 12-24 3-7 3-4 11 2 1 0 30 - -
Evan Fournier * 29 5-14 2-8 1-1 2 3 0 0 13 - -
Gary Clark * 28 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 - -
James Ennis III * 28 3-10 2-6 2-2 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Markelle Fultz * 24 3-9 0-0 1-2 3 10 1 0 7 - -
Terrence Ross 26 7-15 4-11 5-5 5 2 0 0 23 - -
D.J. Augustin 23 1-7 0-3 0-0 0 7 0 0 2 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 21 1-7 1-3 2-2 4 0 1 1 5 - -
Mo Bamba 12 3-5 1-2 2-2 6 3 0 0 9 - -
Vic Law 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Khem Birch 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Wes Iwundu 3 0-1 0-1 3-4 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Melvin Frazier Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter