🐻⬇️🏀

@
2020-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% -
Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% -
Log Adjusted 77.0% 23.0% -
Points Off/Def 66.7% 33.3% -

Actual: New York Knicks +2 (125-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 39 8-22 3-13 16-16 2 8 4 0 35 - -
Russell Westbrook * 37 9-19 1-3 5-7 9 3 0 1 24 - -
Robert Covington * 34 7-14 6-11 0-0 13 2 2 1 20 - -
P.J. Tucker * 33 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 29 7-15 4-11 2-2 2 1 1 2 20 - -
Eric Gordon 22 4-11 3-9 0-0 1 3 0 0 11 - -
Ben McLemore 16 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 1 2 0 9 - -
Jeff Green 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 2 1 1 4 - -
Austin Rivers 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 30 10-18 3-8 4-7 5 5 1 0 27 - -
Julius Randle * 29 5-14 0-1 6-8 16 4 0 1 16 - -
Maurice Harkless * 29 4-8 0-1 3-6 6 2 0 0 11 - -
Taj Gibson * 23 3-7 0-0 2-2 10 2 0 1 8 - -
Elfrid Payton * 19 2-7 0-1 0-0 6 6 2 0 4 - -
Frank Ntilikina 28 5-10 1-6 0-0 0 4 2 0 11 - -
Mitchell Robinson 24 5-8 0-0 2-4 13 0 0 0 12 - -
Wayne Ellington 19 5-8 5-8 0-0 3 2 0 2 15 - -
Bobby Portis 18 6-10 2-3 1-2 5 0 1 2 15 - -
Kevin Knox II 16 2-7 1-2 1-1 1 1 0 1 6 - -

* = starter