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2020-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 25.9% 74.1% - โœ—
Margin 16.4% 83.6% +9.0 โœ— (23.0 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 58.7% 41.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors -14 (110-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 35 10-24 7-9 7-8 2 8 5 0 34 - -
Rui Hachimura * 29 4-8 1-2 6-7 8 1 0 0 15 - -
Shabazz Napier * 25 3-5 1-1 2-2 3 5 3 0 9 - -
Isaac Bonga * 21 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 6 - -
Thomas Bryant * 15 5-6 1-1 1-1 2 0 1 2 12 - -
Davis Bertans 30 9-14 8-10 3-3 4 0 0 1 29 - -
Jerome Robinson 21 2-5 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Ish Smith 20 3-9 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 1 6 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 16 0-4 0-1 2-2 5 2 1 0 2 - -
Moritz Wagner 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Anzejs Pasecniks 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Gary Payton II 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 35 9-19 1-5 8-11 6 2 2 2 27 - -
Damion Lee * 34 4-11 2-6 0-0 6 2 2 1 10 - -
Marquese Chriss * 30 6-8 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 2 12 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 28 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 5 2 1 2 - -
Dragan Bender * 19 4-12 0-3 0-0 10 0 0 0 8 - -
Eric Paschall 33 7-14 1-2 2-3 7 6 0 0 17 - -
Mychal Mulder 31 6-10 3-7 2-3 2 1 1 1 17 - -
Jordan Poole 27 5-9 2-3 5-7 3 7 0 0 17 - -

* = starter