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2020-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 57.6% 42.4% -
Margin 56.4% 43.6% -1.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.8% 45.2% -
Efficiency 76.7% 23.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% -
Log Adjusted 67.7% 32.3% -
Points Off/Def 57.7% 42.3% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -8 (114-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 14-21 3-5 3-3 12 13 2 0 34 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 35 8-18 2-8 2-3 4 1 1 0 20 - -
JaVale McGee * 24 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 7 8 - -
Avery Bradley * 24 3-8 2-4 2-2 2 3 1 1 10 - -
Danny Green * 22 4-9 2-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 10 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 31 5-11 1-5 2-2 0 2 3 1 13 - -
Dwight Howard 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 8 - -
Rajon Rondo 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Markieff Morris 14 4-8 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 10 - -
Quinn Cook 11 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 39 5-23 1-9 4-4 4 2 1 0 15 - -
Jrue Holiday * 38 4-10 2-5 1-2 5 6 1 0 11 - -
Lonzo Ball * 37 7-15 1-7 4-6 9 9 3 1 19 - -
Zion Williamson * 33 12-16 0-0 11-13 7 0 0 0 35 - -
Derrick Favors * 27 5-12 0-0 2-2 14 0 1 1 12 - -
Josh Hart 21 3-5 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 7 - -
Nicolo Melli 20 2-8 1-7 5-6 2 0 1 1 10 - -
E'Twaun Moore 16 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 5 - -
Frank Jackson 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter