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2020-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 79.5% 20.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 40.8% 59.2% +2.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Log Adjusted 35.1% 64.9% -
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +6 (106-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Snell * 38 3-9 3-6 3-3 4 6 1 1 12 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 38 4-11 4-9 2-2 6 2 0 0 14 - -
Christian Wood * 35 7-16 1-4 5-7 12 0 0 1 20 - -
John Henson * 22 5-8 0-1 0-4 5 3 2 1 10 - -
Derrick Rose * 9 3-5 1-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Brandon Knight 25 5-12 5-10 1-2 3 7 0 0 16 - -
Langston Galloway 24 4-12 3-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 15 1-3 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Donta Hall 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -
Derrick Walton Jr. 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 3 - -
Khyri Thomas 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 35 3-9 1-3 3-4 8 4 1 0 10 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 32 7-16 0-4 9-10 3 7 0 1 23 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 27 5-12 3-8 2-3 0 0 4 0 15 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 23 3-10 1-6 0-0 7 2 1 0 7 - -
Harry Giles III * 20 5-9 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 1 12 - -
Kent Bazemore 31 1-6 0-2 5-5 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Alex Len 27 4-8 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 5 8 - -
Buddy Hield 25 7-17 3-11 2-2 6 2 0 0 19 - -
Cory Joseph 15 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 - -

* = starter