Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +15 (133-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell * | 40 | 9-17 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 39 | 6-21 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 39 | 12-16 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 37 | 4-14 | 2-10 | 7-7 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Patrick McCaw | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Miller | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 8-15 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 29 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 19 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 16 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter