Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -20 (91-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 36 | 13-25 | 6-14 | 6-10 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 38 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 31 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 29 | 11-17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 16 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Russell * | 36 | 6-18 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 29 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 27 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 25 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 12 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter