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2020-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% -
Bradley-Terry 67.8% 32.2% -
Margin 75.0% 25.0% -6.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 66.7% 33.3% -
Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.3% 11.7% -
Log Adjusted 88.3% 11.7% -
Points Off/Def 78.4% 21.6% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -8 (85-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 34 17-28 1-4 6-7 20 6 1 0 41 - -
Wesley Matthews * 27 3-11 2-7 0-0 8 2 2 0 8 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 27 1-5 0-3 0-0 7 5 0 1 2 - -
Brook Lopez * 26 4-11 1-5 7-9 7 0 0 3 16 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 22 2-8 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 - -
George Hill 25 4-11 1-4 2-3 5 2 2 0 11 - -
Pat Connaughton 24 2-5 1-4 1-2 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Marvin Williams 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 - -
Sterling Brown 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Robin Lopez 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 36 6-18 0-3 1-1 3 4 1 0 13 - -
Miles Bridges * 35 3-13 1-7 0-0 5 2 2 2 7 - -
Devonte' Graham * 32 7-18 3-8 0-1 2 3 1 0 17 - -
P.J. Washington * 31 5-14 1-8 1-1 6 3 0 2 12 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 22 2-8 0-0 4-4 9 2 0 2 8 - -
Cody Martin 29 4-8 2-5 1-1 5 2 0 1 11 - -
Caleb Martin 23 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 5 - -
Willy Hernangomez 20 4-9 0-1 2-2 12 4 2 0 10 - -
Jalen McDaniels 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -

* = starter