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2020-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% -
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% -
Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% -
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% -
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -16 (99-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damion Lee * 36 6-13 2-6 6-6 5 8 1 0 20 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 6-20 0-5 5-7 7 5 3 2 17 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 30 2-5 0-2 1-2 4 3 1 0 5 - -
Dragan Bender * 30 5-10 3-6 0-0 9 4 1 3 13 - -
Marquese Chriss * 25 3-6 0-0 5-8 9 3 3 1 11 - -
Mychal Mulder 33 5-12 3-8 1-1 6 0 0 0 14 - -
Eric Paschall 32 10-16 1-2 4-6 3 4 0 0 25 - -
Kevon Looney 14 4-5 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 0 10 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 38 6-16 4-7 5-5 0 1 0 1 21 - -
Mikal Bridges * 38 5-12 5-10 0-0 3 3 1 1 15 - -
Deandre Ayton * 33 8-16 0-0 4-5 9 0 1 2 20 - -
Dario Saric * 28 4-8 0-2 3-4 9 3 0 1 11 - -
Ricky Rubio * 28 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 8 0 0 6 - -
Cameron Johnson 26 2-8 1-6 1-2 4 2 1 0 6 - -
Elie Okobo 20 4-8 1-1 5-6 7 5 0 0 14 - -
Jevon Carter 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Aron Baynes 10 2-4 1-1 1-1 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Ty Jerome 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Cheick Diallo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter