Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +1 (114-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 29 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 32 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 18 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Lyles * | 39 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 30 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 23 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 29 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 21 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter