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2020-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% -
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% -
Log Adjusted 36.6% 63.4% -
Points Off/Def 37.9% 62.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -1 (110-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 43 16-27 1-2 8-12 8 5 3 0 41 - -
James Harden * 40 7-24 4-17 3-3 4 8 3 0 21 - -
P.J. Tucker * 39 3-7 3-6 0-0 13 1 0 3 9 - -
Robert Covington * 38 6-12 4-10 0-0 16 0 1 3 16 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 33 4-10 1-7 0-0 6 0 1 0 9 - -
Eric Gordon 21 2-6 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Austin Rivers 21 2-6 0-4 1-1 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Jeff Green 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 2 3 - -
Ben McLemore 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 44 9-23 2-6 2-4 5 3 1 1 22 - -
Jayson Tatum * 44 9-27 4-12 10-14 13 5 2 2 32 - -
Marcus Smart * 44 9-22 5-15 3-3 5 7 4 0 26 - -
Gordon Hayward * 40 8-16 2-6 0-0 6 4 3 0 18 - -
Daniel Theis * 39 3-8 0-2 2-2 15 3 0 3 8 - -
Brad Wanamaker 13 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Grant Williams 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Semi Ojeleye 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter