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2020-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 47.0% 53.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Log Adjusted 72.8% 27.2% -
Points Off/Def 62.4% 37.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +17 (105-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 34 8-18 2-8 1-2 8 10 1 1 19 - -
Anthony Davis * 24 7-12 1-3 0-1 9 4 0 2 15 - -
Avery Bradley * 20 2-8 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso * 20 3-5 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 9 - -
JaVale McGee * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 28 5-12 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Kyle Kuzma 26 5-12 0-2 0-1 5 2 0 0 10 - -
Rajon Rondo 25 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 - -
Dwight Howard 18 1-3 0-0 4-6 7 0 2 0 6 - -
Markieff Morris 16 2-9 1-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 - -
Jared Dudley 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Troy Daniels 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Quinn Cook 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 34 9-24 3-11 3-3 5 0 0 0 24 - -
Ja Morant * 33 10-16 4-6 3-4 6 14 1 0 27 - -
Kyle Anderson * 31 4-7 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 8 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 30 10-15 0-0 2-2 20 2 0 0 22 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 24 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 3 1 3 - -
Gorgui Dieng 21 1-6 0-4 0-0 6 1 1 2 2 - -
Tyus Jones 21 3-11 1-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 7 - -
Josh Jackson 15 2-7 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Yuta Watanabe 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 3 - -
John Konchar 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 2 1 5 - -
Marko Guduric 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter