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2020-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Miami Heat Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% -
Margin 32.8% 67.2% +4.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% -
Log Adjusted 34.2% 65.8% -
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% -

Actual: Miami Heat +3 (116-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 35 6-17 1-6 2-2 3 4 1 0 15 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 32 7-15 2-7 9-10 4 12 0 0 25 - -
Joe Harris * 30 7-15 5-9 1-2 4 3 0 0 20 - -
Jarrett Allen * 27 7-8 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 0 17 - -
Taurean Prince * 21 3-8 3-8 1-2 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Garrett Temple 22 3-7 1-4 0-0 5 4 0 1 7 - -
DeAndre Jordan 20 1-1 0-0 1-2 9 3 0 1 3 - -
Wilson Chandler 19 4-8 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 1 11 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Rodions Kurucs 12 1-2 0-1 0-1 2 1 1 0 2 - -

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler * 36 5-14 0-1 6-9 6 8 1 0 16 - -
Kendrick Nunn * 35 9-14 3-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 21 - -
Bam Adebayo * 32 7-12 0-0 2-2 12 3 0 3 16 - -
Duncan Robinson * 27 3-7 2-6 2-2 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 19 4-11 2-6 2-2 6 1 1 0 12 - -
Goran Dragic 32 6-16 4-9 3-4 3 10 0 0 19 - -
Jae Crowder 28 4-10 2-6 3-3 4 0 1 0 13 - -
Kelly Olynyk 15 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Andre Iguodala 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 - -

* = starter