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2020-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 54.6% 45.4% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% -
Log Adjusted 68.3% 31.7% -
Points Off/Def 58.8% 41.2% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (129-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 38 14-26 3-9 4-6 5 5 2 0 35 - -
Trevor Ariza * 37 3-9 1-6 3-3 4 2 3 0 10 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 36 5-13 1-3 1-2 6 2 0 0 12 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 31 9-14 0-0 3-6 13 1 1 3 21 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 29 6-12 1-4 2-2 0 0 0 0 15 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 7 1 2 1 2 - -
Anfernee Simons 15 3-8 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Mario Hezonja 12 4-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Nassir Little 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Caleb Swanigan 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 38 8-12 6-9 0-0 4 0 0 1 22 - -
John Collins * 36 9-14 3-5 3-3 10 4 1 2 24 - -
Kevin Huerter * 35 6-10 3-7 4-4 4 8 3 1 19 - -
Trae Young * 34 7-18 1-8 10-10 4 15 0 0 25 - -
Cam Reddish * 24 3-9 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Bruno Fernando 17 5-5 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 1 11 - -
Jeff Teague 17 1-4 0-1 1-1 2 3 0 0 3 - -
Treveon Graham 13 5-5 2-2 0-1 2 1 1 0 12 - -
Vince Carter 12 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 - -
Brandon Goodwin 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Damian Jones 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter