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2020-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% -
Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% -
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% -
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% -

Actual: New York Knicks +10 (125-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 10-25 4-8 2-5 3 7 1 0 26 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 33 2-8 0-3 2-2 4 7 1 0 6 - -
Thaddeus Young * 31 6-12 3-7 0-0 3 2 5 0 15 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 18 1-5 0-0 4-6 9 2 0 1 6 - -
Shaquille Harrison * 13 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Coby White 28 7-17 4-8 4-4 2 3 2 0 22 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 20 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford 19 5-6 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 2 12 - -
Adam Mokoka 16 2-3 2-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Denzel Valentine 10 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Cristiano Felicio 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elfrid Payton * 33 1-4 0-1 1-4 1 10 0 0 3 - -
Julius Randle * 31 7-15 0-2 8-8 10 3 1 0 22 - -
RJ Barrett * 31 8-10 3-4 0-4 4 3 0 0 19 - -
Maurice Harkless * 26 3-10 0-3 3-3 7 3 3 1 9 - -
Taj Gibson * 19 5-6 0-1 7-8 8 2 1 0 17 - -
Mitchell Robinson 28 11-16 0-0 1-3 10 2 1 2 23 - -
Kevin Knox II 21 4-9 2-3 2-2 6 1 0 0 12 - -
Frank Ntilikina 16 1-2 1-1 1-1 2 4 0 0 4 - -
Bobby Portis 16 5-8 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 10 - -
Wayne Ellington 14 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter