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2020-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 72.8% 27.2% -
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% -
Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% -
Log Adjusted 21.2% 78.8% -
Points Off/Def 25.5% 74.5% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +18 (43-25). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Tristan Thompson * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Kevin Love * 8 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Collin Sexton * 8 4-7 1-2 1-1 0 0 1 0 10 - -
Cedi Osman * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 7 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Ante Zizic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 12 5-7 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 1 11 - -
Brandon Ingram * 10 3-5 1-2 3-4 1 2 1 0 10 - -
Derrick Favors * 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 4 - -
Lonzo Ball * 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 - -
Zion Williamson * 6 5-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 10 - -
JJ Redick 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Josh Hart 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Jaxson Hayes 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Nicolo Melli 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
E'Twaun Moore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter