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2020-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 20.1% 79.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Log Adjusted 20.9% 79.1% -
Points Off/Def 26.0% 74.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (21-14). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 8 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Luguentz Dort * 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Paul * 7 1-4 0-1 1-1 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Steven Adams * 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Nerlens Noel 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Deonte Burton 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dennis Schroder 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Abdel Nader 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Isaiah Roby 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Mike Muscala 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 7 4-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Wesley Matthews * 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Brook Lopez * 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
George Hill 3 0-0 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 - -
Robin Lopez 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Marvin Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sterling Brown 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Pat Connaughton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter