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2020-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +6 (30-24). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nemanja Bjelica * 12 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 9 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Harrison Barnes * 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Harry Giles III * 6 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Buddy Hield 6 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Alex Len 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Kent Bazemore 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Cory Joseph 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 12 6-10 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 13 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 12 2-8 1-3 0-0 12 0 0 1 5 - -
Kyle Anderson * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Ja Morant * 7 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 4 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Tyus Jones 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Gorgui Dieng 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Josh Jackson 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Yuta Watanabe 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
John Konchar 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter