Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (31-29). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter