Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | +5.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +4 (112-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 34 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanović * | 27 | 4-14 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III * | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 26 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 17 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 33 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 31 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter