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2020-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% -
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% -
Margin 55.5% 44.5% -1.2 (29.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% -
Log Adjusted 30.5% 69.5% -
Points Off/Def 31.5% 68.5% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +28 (140-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 30 9-26 4-10 0-0 1 3 0 0 22 - -
Ja Morant * 28 5-13 1-4 1-2 3 9 1 0 12 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 23 3-8 1-4 2-4 7 3 1 0 9 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 6-9 0-0 4-5 10 1 0 0 16 - -
Kyle Anderson * 18 3-7 1-1 0-0 7 4 2 1 7 - -
Josh Jackson 23 2-6 1-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 5 - -
Tyus Jones 21 2-10 2-7 2-4 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Gorgui Dieng 19 4-7 0-2 2-4 2 1 1 1 10 - -
John Konchar 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 7 2 3 0 4 - -
Yuta Watanabe 16 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Marko Guduric 7 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 1 4 - -
Dusty Hannahs 6 3-6 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Jordan Bell 5 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 33 15-24 1-2 2-3 9 8 4 0 33 - -
Robert Covington * 29 3-8 1-5 3-3 6 1 1 3 10 - -
James Harden * 28 9-16 7-12 5-6 7 3 1 0 30 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 26 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
P.J. Tucker * 24 4-8 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 1 11 - -
Ben McLemore 25 4-6 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 11 - -
Austin Rivers 25 9-12 4-7 1-1 4 3 1 0 23 - -
Jeff Green 23 4-8 3-6 0-0 5 4 0 0 11 - -
DeMarre Carroll 18 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 1 1 2 3 - -
Bruno Caboclo 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter