Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.2% | 41.8% | -1.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -6 (103-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 10-25 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 29 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 8-10 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 28 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 23 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 22 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 28 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 28 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 21 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 21 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter