Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (126-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 31 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 31 | 9-18 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 23 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 18 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 10-15 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 31 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 16 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 31 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter